[期刊论文][article]


TACKLING FALSE POSITIVES IN BUSINESS RESEARCH: A STATISTICAL TOOLBOX WITH APPLICATIONS

作   者:
Jae H. Kim;

出版年:2019

页     码:862 - 895
出版社:John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.


摘   要:

Abstract Serious concerns have been raised that false positive findings are widespread in empirical research in business disciplines. This is largely because researchers almost exclusively adopt the ‘ p ‐value less than 0.05’ criterion for statistical significance; and they are often not fully aware of large‐sample biases which can potentially mislead their research outcomes. This paper proposes that a statistical toolbox (rather than a single hammer) be used in empirical research, which offers researchers a range of statistical instruments, including a range of alternatives to the p ‐value criterion such as the Bayesian methods, optimal significance level, sample size selection, equivalence testing and exploratory data analyses. It is found that the positive results obtained under the p ‐value criterion cannot stand, when the toolbox is applied to three notable studies in finance.



关键字:

Adaptive significance level;Bayes factor;Decision theory;Fallacy of rejection;Large‐sample bias;Zero probability paradox;C12;G10


所属期刊
Journal of Economic Surveys
ISSN: 0950-0804
来自:John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.