[期刊论文]


Nickels Not Pennies: Granularity in Analysts' Earnings per Share Forecasts and Forecast Revisions

作   者:
Ling Zhou;

出版年:2010

页     码:201 - 233
出版社:SAGE Publications


摘   要:

This article extends the study of Herrmann and Thomas (2005) on granularity in analyst forecasts at multiples of nickels and finds that forecasts at multiples of nickels are more optimistic, and induce weaker market responses. Granularity in analyst forecasts combined with managers' incentive to meet forecasts help explain discontinuity in actual earnings per share (EPS) at multiples of nickels documented in Thomas (1989). In addition, this article documents a hitherto unrecorded phenomenon that forecast revisions also exhibit granularity at multiples of nickels and shows that analysts are more likely to make nickel forecast revisions when they lack precise information. Forecasts that revise prior forecasts by multiples of nickels are less accurate.



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所属期刊
Journal of Accounting, Auditing & Finance
ISSN: 0148-558X
来自:SAGE Publications